Ezra Klein The Year in Politics, Part II
December 29
2025
Summary:
John Heilman and Ezra Klein look back on the political arc of 2025, focusing on how Trump’s second term followed a “flood the zone” attention strategy early on but began losing momentum amid policy chaos, tariff-driven economic pain, unpopular immigration crackdowns, and visible fractures in the Republican coalition. They discuss how Trump’s disinhibition and reliance on attention over coherent governance created self-inflicted crises, leaving Republicans unsure what his agenda is beyond cruelty and spectacle. The conversation also tracks Democrats’ tentative recovery, including winning key 2025 elections, successfully framing fights around healthcare and affordability, and the emergence of new figures who communicate more effectively in today’s media environment. Klein ties these shifts to broader themes about the attention layer shaping politics, the need for Democrats to build a more pluralistic and risk-tolerant coalition, and the stakes of whether institutions and civic actors respond with sustained action. The episode closes with a brief detour into Klein’s interviews with artists Brian Eno and Patti Smith as a case for keeping culture and beauty in view amid political turmoil.
00:01
John Heilman
Impolitik with John Heilman is presented by BP.
00:05
See all the ways that they're investing in America.
00:44
Aloha and namaste, everyone, and welcome to InPolitic with John Heilman, a Puck and Odyssey joint featuring lively, in-depth conversations with the people who cruise the corridors of power in America, sculpting and shaping the ebb and flow of our politics and culture.
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In our last episode with Pond Save America co-host John Lovett and Jon Favreau that came out last Friday, we did a look back on 2025, the year in politics.
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And if you haven't listened to that episode already,
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Stop what you're doing right now.
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Hit pause.
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Go and get that episode.
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Listen to it.
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It is wonderful.
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You're going to want to hear it.
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And then come back to this episode, because this episode is part two, where it's really more of a second installment in a two-part series in which we look back on the year in politics in 2025.
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And as promised in that episode, we have with us for this second installment, the one, the only,
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the inimitable, the unrivaled, the unmatched, incredibly influential, and increasingly powerful, Ezra Klein of the New York Times.
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Ezra, a New York Times opinion columnist, the host of the Ezra Klein Show, massive hit podcast that you can find on any audio podcast app that you're looking for, and also YouTube in the New York Times where it is a juggernaut in video.
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Ezra, in addition to all of that, is also the author of one of the most important books
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of 2025.
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His book, Abundance, with his co-author Derek Thompson, which got Democrats and whether they were politicians, pundits, operatives, prospective presidential candidates, all chattering at a feverish clip about whether this
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vision that they had for how to make democratic governance work and the political implications, if they could, might be the answer to a lot of the woes the Democratic Party has been suffering in recent years.
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Ezra and I talked about those woes.
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We also talked a lot about Donald Trump.
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If you are used to Ezra being a little bit on the, not exactly a doomsayer, but someone who has been very clear-eyed and very
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worried about the future of the country, worried about Trump's power, worried about Democrats' weakness.
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You will be heartened to hear that on almost every front, Ezra ends this year sounding a lot more hopeful than he sounded throughout much of it.
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You'll look forward to that.
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And you'll also look forward to the part of our conversation about two of the more unusual guests to appear on the Ezra Klein Show, both of them appearing late.
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In 2025, they're not the kind of obvious people you think of as people that Ezra would interview, but he does an incredible job interviewing two of the most interesting people in the entire modern history of popular music.
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That would be Brian Eno and Patti Smith.
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It's still just...
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It befuddles me when I hear some of the music that Ezra is into, but that doesn't stop him from appreciating greats like Patti Smith and Brian Eno and doing a fabulous job interviewing them.
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We talk about that as a little light moment at the end of a very dark year in our politics, but one that may be looking just a little bit brighter up here to believe what Ezra Klein has to say on this all new episode of InPolitik with John Howman that's coming at you in three, two, one.
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Ezra Klein
If you want to understand the first few weeks of a second Trump administration, go back and listen to what Steve Bannon told PBS's Frontline in 2019.
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Steve Bannon
The opposition party is the media.
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And the media can only, because they're dumb and they're lazy, they can only focus on one thing at a time.
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All we have to do is flood the zone.
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Every day we hit them with three things.
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They'll bite on one and we'll get all of our stuff done.
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Bang, bang, bang.
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These guys will never be able to recover.
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But we got to start with muzzle velocity.
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So it's got to start.
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It's got a hammer.
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What does it work?
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Muzzle velocity.
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Ezra Klein
Donald Trump's first two weeks in the White House have followed Bannon's strategy like a script.
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The flood is a point.
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The overwhelm is a point.
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The message wasn't in any one executive order or announcement.
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It was in the cumulative effect of all of them.
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The sense that this is Trump's country now.
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It is his government now.
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It follows his will.
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It does what he wants.
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That he is limitless.
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If he says that birthright citizenship is over, then it's over.
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or so he wants you to think.
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In Trump's first term, people said, don't normalize him.
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In a second though, the task I think is a little bit clearer.
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Don't believe him.
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John Heilman
That was an oldie but a goodie.
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A video essay whose title was the kicker of that clip.
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Don't believe him.
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That video essay, video podcast, was posted way back on February 4th of 2025.
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And since then, it has racked up nearly 2 million views on YouTube, making the most watched video all year from our guest today, Ezra Klein.
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Ezra, a name that has always meant a lot to a lot of people, but seems to mean more to more people today than ever before.
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How are you?
05:47
Ezra Klein
I don't like how this is beginning at all.
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You said this was the year in review, John, not the me in review.
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John Heilman
Well, you know, I think I can assure you, Ezra, that we're not doing an entire episode devoted to the year in Ezra.
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Though I do have a few questions along those lines that we will get to later.
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But, you know, given the trajectory of your show this year, it does seem to me that
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it provides a kind of useful framework for looking back at 2025 or, you know, kind of like a prism through, you know, a prism you can look at the year through.
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So with that in mind, embarrassingly, I'm going to say that, you know, look, I wanted to be at least a little rigorous because you're famous for your rigor.
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So I went back.
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This is the embarrassing part.
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I went back and I studiously, like, looked through all of your 2025 output from January until now.
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Which is, you know, something that knowing you and your appetite for self-scrutiny and for data, I imagine you and your team might have done something like this.
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You might have done the same thing for your own purposes.
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Ezra Klein
We didn't ask me anything that structured itself across a bunch of the essays I did over the course of the year.
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But I have not done a true accounting of my year in podcasting.
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John Heilman
72.
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episodes of one kind or another that I could count.
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Now it's possible that I missed something.
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It's not impossible.
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I've made errors before, but for now I'm going to go with 72.
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Nine of which were the essays, the individual, no guest where you just did a shorter form thing.
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Does that sort of comport with your memory?
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You think that's roughly right?
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I think that's probably right.
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Ezra Klein
What do you think the- I'm not going to question you here.
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I haven't looked at it.
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John Heilman
Well, I thought you might say, well, no, I've done two a week.
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I've definitely done 104.
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And I'd be like, I don't know how I missed 28 of them.
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Do you have any idea what the main, like what topic you were devoted to more than any other topics?
07:44
I mean, the Democratic Party and Trump.
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Yes, first of all, the Democratic Party and Trump are kind of different topics, but you definitely spent more time talking to or about Democrats.
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Ezra Klein
I feel like this is like getting a Spotify rapped on myself in the voice of John Heileman.
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John Heilman
Yeah, it's kind of good, right?
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It's not bad.
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Ezra Klein
Do you do that?
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Is this a service you now offer?
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John Heilman
If someone will pay me, I will happily do it for anyone.
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Ezra Klein
You see that Uber will now give you your year in Uber wrapped.
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John Heilman
I know.
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I saw that.
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I don't actually want to know where I went.
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I really don't want to know.
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That's not a, that's not a helpful thing.
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If you're at all OCD, you could get lost down that rabbit hole for a long time, you know, where you're kind of like just digging around and looking at like, where'd I go?
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Why was I there?
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Or what, what was I doing on that day?
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Why did I go from here to there?
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Yeah.
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Could make me crazy.
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But it's interesting because it's not just the number of, you did seven episodes in the economy that were either on the economy or finance.
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A bunch of those are tariff episodes from the beginning of the year.
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You can kind of like walk through the first year of Trump 2.0 if you kind of, you know, follow, I was kind of following, charting my way through here.
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It's like, you know, there's this early kind of emphasis on tariffs and the economies.
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They're kind of following the news, basically, right?
08:59
You got a lot of that.
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The Democratic stuff is kind of sprinkled throughout.
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You get to this one point where you suddenly, where the, you know, the deportation stuff around the Kilmer-Abrego-Garcia story breaking, where suddenly that becomes a major focus.
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of what you're doing the other thing you did a lot of uh are relatively speaking relative to other things is uh and trump is obviously throughout the entire thing i can't even make a separate category for that but um
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uh israel gaza is another thing that uh got a bunch of your attention um a few episodes on ai um and and related things i don't know where you put the attention economy i don't really know how to tech i'm not that good at the taxonomy i'm not sure if that's an ai thing a social media thing or like uh if you think that means a tech story or more as a it's all of it i think of it as a fundamental substrate of modern life
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Ezra Klein
You can't think about politics without the attention layer.
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You can't think about Trump without the attention layer.
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You can't think about AI without the attention layer.
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What we pay attention to is what our lives are made of.
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John Heilman
100%, yes.
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And I think you're a focus and emphasis on that from the very beginning.
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It was one of the first episodes you did in the year.
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And it's become now kind of a truism that people are focused on this kind of attention economy thing.
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I guess my first real question to you is, if you think back over the year, which of these episodes stand out for you?
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Forget about the essays for now.
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Just in terms of the guests you had on,
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When you think back on the year, which of them have stuck in your mind and continue to be people or ideas that got raised that you really think are, that you continue to ruminate on and that have really kind of maybe changed the way you see the world?
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Ezra Klein
I probably think about the year in terms of a couple of ideas and themes I was pursuing across episodes.
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So the way you're breaking this down feels true topically, but not true in the way that I pursue it.
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So the way I think about what I was pursuing this year, for me, there's been the simply covering the
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major actions of president Trump and trying to understand the nature and rules of his regime, right?
11:06
That's been one thread.
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Yep.
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And then there has been a thread on abundance.
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My book abundance with Derek Thompson came out this year.
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Uh, and that was a huge thing for me.
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It wasn't as much on my show because that was something I was mainly doing external to the show, but you had a book this year for my sins, my man.
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And then, um,
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And then I've been doing a lot trying to think through the Democratic Party and how did the Democratic Party and how did liberalism
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become so exhausted, attenuated.
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How did the Democratic Party lose a working class?
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How did it lose rural voters?
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How did we go from a point where in 2010 you had Democratic senators from Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, Missouri, Arkansas, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and like a list like that could go on, Louisiana, to where most of those places, not all of them, feel
12:07
almost unrecoverable for the Democratic Party as it currently exists, right?
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What would the Democratic Party need to be to be competitive in as many places in 2026 or 2028 as it was in 2010 or 2008?
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And then there was attention and AI, which are not the same thing for me, but attention was a big one for me and AI and then Israel, Gaza, which has been a brutal ongoing story.
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And those are probably the big strands.
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And I think that of those ones that feel very alive to me right now,
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I feel like the nature of the Trump story is changing.
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I was just finishing a column about that before we jumped on the pod.
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I feel like the nature of the Democratic Party is changing.
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And you can feel the sort of synthesis beginning.
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You can feel its confidence returning.
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And I think that the...
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AI and attention questions are in an interesting place.
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But probably the ones that are obsessing me the most right now are trying to understand what is happening right now as Trumpism loses steam.
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trying to understand what the Democratic Party is going to become in time for the midterms, and trying to understand what it would mean to have a pluralistic politics that can act as an answer and an antidote to the way that I think the Trump coalition is not going to be able to maintain itself on top of its own internal contradictions.
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John Heilman
Okay, so if my math is right, and I heard you right, and God knows my math is often wrong, but my ears work pretty good.
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If I'm right, that is four big topics or themes that you just identified for the year.
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Trump, Democrats, attention economy, and Israel-Gaza.
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Or was there another one?
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Was there a fifth?
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Ezra Klein
I would say AI is something I want to spend much more time covering if I'm able to do so in 2026.
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But I'm not going to have as decided a theory on it at the moment as I do on the others.
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John Heilman
So I was being a little bit pedantic and overly deterministic in categorizing and counting up your various episodes in 2025.
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But in looking at it that way, you not only get a sense of your kind of intellectual priorities and editorial judgment and all that stuff.
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You also get a pretty clear sense of the arc of the stories, you know, or the themes that you focused on.
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And, you know, like just starting with Trump, there's really a tonal shift that takes place in your shows over the course of the year.
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You know, in addition to the guests that you had on, the way that you framed those conversations, if you look at those video essays that you did, you know, the kind of tenor of your commentary in the first two thirds or three quarters of the year has the sense of like mounting alarm.
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And sometimes like, you know, five fire alarm level of alarm.
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You know, the clip we just played with Bannon talking about muzzle velocity.
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Then a couple months later, you know, when Trump's deportation agenda, thuggery really kicked in.
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You did this essay called The Emergency is Here.
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And then we got, you know, Trump is building his own paramilitary was one of your episodes and Then we had stop acting like this is normal But there's this moment where in the 60th episode of in my count is how the Democrats found their fight was the an episode you did with Favreau and from there forward the last dozen
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has a different kind of tone to it because Trump is starting to lose steam.
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There is starting to be signs that the early part of the administration, he's lost, the coalition is under strain.
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There's some people who are starting to resist, Republicans who are starting to push back against him.
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Obviously, the election happens in November.
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And this notion of Trump as lame duck,
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I just saw Favreau and John Lovett out here in LA.
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And Lovett actually used the phrase, in like a lion, out like a lamb, which is, I think, overly simplified.
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But it's a feeling that a lot of people have.
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So tell me about how you think over the course of 2025, the Trump story changed and where it is today.
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Ezra Klein
So I do want to be careful because I don't hold to the view that we have...
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It has settled into any one thing.
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I would not call Donald Trump a lame duck.
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I would not say he's out like a lamb.
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We've got, you know, barring health emergency for him or something else unexpected, three more years of his presidency.
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And I think any liberals unrolling the mission accomplished banner should think twice about that.
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What I do think is that a couple of things seem to me to have happened in the past couple of months.
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One is that the single biggest thing was the November elections.
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And if you had to ask me what is the best thing that happened to Democrats in 2025, it is that the polling underestimated them in New Jersey.
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That was the best thing that happened to them.
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Because it turned the outcomes of the 2025 election from exactly what you would expect.
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Democrats won a governor's race in Virginia.
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They won a governor's race in New Jersey.
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They won a mayoralty in New York City.
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They won a ballot measure in California.
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into, Oh shit, they're overperforming.
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Right.
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And you could, I mean, you, you know, this stuff better than I do, John, you could feel the way that took hold in Washington and Washington, much like financial markets is a place that works off of expectations.
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So when all of a sudden people think they know what's going to happen and then
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They have to update all their information all at once.
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You tend to get very rapid changes in momentum and, you know, conventional wisdom.
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And you could feel the Republicans almost immediately begin to lose confidence.
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At the same time, you had the shutdown going on.
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Right.
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And even though Democrats ended the shutdown with a whimper, they...
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They sort of won it in public opinion, which was not obvious at the beginning.
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And even in the last week, we've watched a number of Republican moderates breaking with Speaker Mike Johnson to support a Democratic compromise bill to extend the Obamacare subsidies for three years, defying Trump.
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So all of a sudden, you're seeing the Republican unity of
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in Congress crack.
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You're seeing a sense the Democrats are in position to have a big midterm if they don't fuck something up or if things don't rapidly change for the Trump administration.
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You're seeing, I mean, Trump himself being unpopular and the economy proving to be quite soft.
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And then I think there's this other thing going on, which has been evident to everybody paying attention, which is that one of the things that made Trump's victory so discomforting to Democrats in 2024 was that unlike in 2016, where he won unexpectedly, but he won in relatively the way and with the sort of coalition you would expect a far-right populist to have.
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In 2024, he bolted on all of these seemingly dangerous
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Incongruous and even contradictory elements.
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So you had Elon Musk and Mark Andreessen in the tech right.
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You had the MAGA, Proud Boy, Griper core.
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you had the more conventional Republicans who by that time, unlike before, and again, you covered this before much more closely than I did, there was no more dissent to Donald Trump.
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You had RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard and the Maha thing that happened.
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And now you see all the contradictions of that
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coming clear.
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Like, can you really have a Republican party that includes Ben Shapiro and Nick Fuentes?
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Because it doesn't really seem you can in a peaceful sense.
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Can you really have a Republican party where on the one hand you have the tech right and on the other hand you have a
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you know, populist movement that both hates billionaires, but is also fundamentally mistrustful of technology and corporations.
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And increasingly, it seems probably you can't.
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And so the energy that was coming out of the sense that something wholly new might be created here with a Praetorian guard of a Republican Party that was now a loyalty cult,
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doesn't seem as obvious.
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Again, that does not mean Trump is not dangerous.
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It does not mean he will not get more things done.
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It does not mean we'll not be at war with Venezuela by the time this podcast comes out.
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But it does create a fundamentally different sense of the energy and the structure.
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And by the way, I think the last thing I'll say on that is Trump mishandled
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The shutdown so badly.
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He was tactically so incompetent.
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And all of their bluster, you know, the Russ Vought video, you know, Here Comes Reaper, they didn't do anything.
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Because in fact, they didn't have anything to do.
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And that what I would say is like the final piece of this.
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What is Donald Trump's agenda now?
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They pass a big, beautiful bill, which is very unpopular.
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What is their second big bill?
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What do they want to do in 2026?
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One reason I don't think Trumpism seems to have the energy today that it did then is it doesn't actually seem to have an agenda moving forward.
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I mean, yes, Stephen Miller is going to try to treat immigrants with as much cruelty and callousness as he can possibly come up with.
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But aside from that, Trump seems fundamentally more interested in the ballroom than in the economy.
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What are they about now?
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You need energy to coalesce a movement.
22:17
But it just seems to be riven at the moment with infighting.
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John Heilman
Yeah.
22:22
And I think there's, you know, there's a couple more things I'd load onto that.
22:26
One of it goes back to the 2024 election, which is and why the 2025 off your election was so heartening and seems to signal something important.
22:34
It's kind of the return of.
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what we would think of as normal expected politics.
22:38
You were talking about the kind of putting together the coalition that had all these disparate pieces on that side.
22:44
I mean, the other thing, of course, from 2024 was, you know, you saw Trump chipping away at these core constituencies of Democrats, whether it was African-Americans or Hispanics.
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And those things all, you know, you talk about New Jersey, seeing the swing back among Hispanic voters in the wake of the deportation agenda.
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It's like, well, that's what's supposed to happen.
23:02
Right.
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The mystery of why all these Hispanics like Donald Trump, you know, when he's promising to deport them.
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And there are various theories about, you know, how you could make gains with Hispanics while you're promising this deportation agenda.
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But once they started to enact the deportation agenda, the expected political reaction backlash seems to have come good in November.
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And I think the other thing, to your point, your last point, which is...
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that what Trump is interested in and what congressional Republicans are interested in, kind of just by watching their behavior, those things, if Trump is lame duck, meaning he's not gonna run for reelection again, try to run for reelection again in 2028, I'm not sure we really know anything about that.
23:44
We can know the future, but he's officially under the Constitution, he's term limited here.
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Their interests, their political interests were gonna diverge anyway.
23:53
And the fact that he seems utterly uninterested in doing anything to fix the problems that will improve their political standing and instead seems mostly interested in making himself richer and doing, you know, building a new ballroom on the East Wing, et cetera, et cetera.
24:08
And they're kind of, you know, the natural divergence of their interests are exacerbated by Trump's
24:15
apparent indifference to their plight politically and the things he's actually enthusiastic about, which mostly involves self-enrichment and spending a lot of time with billionaires, which only makes their problems worse.
24:29
And I don't really know if there's any indication that he's thinking about
24:35
or planning to do anything to remedy that, which just means that the number of Republicans who are willing to stand up to him is going to grow in 2026.
24:45
Ezra Klein
Maybe this is also a way to bring in the attention.
24:48
I don't even want to call it the attention economy.
24:49
I sort of want to call it the attention layer into this conversation, because I don't think these things are actually separable in an interesting way.
24:58
Trump, and for that matter, much of MAGA,
25:04
is fundamentally a creature of attention.
25:08
His genius, when we talk about what Donald Trump is a genius at, he's not a genius at governing.
25:15
He's not one of the great policy minds of our age.
25:18
He's not an empath, God knows.
25:22
He is a genius at attention.
25:24
He does not feel your pain, Ezra.
25:26
He does not.
25:27
He does not.
25:28
And many of the people around him, and when I say around him, I don't mean Susie Wiles.
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I mean...
25:34
at the apex of his movement.
25:36
I mean, MAGA even compared to the Democratic Party on the other side, to wield influence on it, that influence is wielded attentionally in part because the way you communicate with Donald Trump is attentionally appearing on television and so on.
25:50
The key figures in MAGA are very, very hooked up to the algorithms.
25:54
I mean, you look at what has happened to Tucker Carlson once he left Fox News and his bread was buttered by the YouTube algorithm.
26:02
And so the thing that is happening is that Donald Trump and many others are very, very good at acting in a day-to-day way where they dominate the story.
26:14
So Trump cuts a deal with a company or gets in a fight with somebody or has a meeting with Zora and Mamdani.
26:21
I mean, he's a master at constantly being in attentional movement, but he doesn't govern.
26:30
in a concerted, sustained, and systematic way.
26:34
And I've started to think about this as actually leading to two different failure modes the Trump administration has.
26:39
There are two ways the Trump administration governs.
26:42
In one of those ways, Donald Trump hands over power, almost fully disengages, and gives it to, in some domain or another, a highly ideological, usually highly radical deputy who...
27:01
The problem becomes there is too much coherence, cruelty, and callousness in the agenda.
27:06
So immigration under Stephen Miller would be one example here.
27:09
The federal workforce under Russ's vote is another.
27:14
Then there's a place where Trump himself is very engaged.
27:18
And there you have the opposite problem of incoherence, of chaos, of inconsistency.
27:25
But if none of Trump's most radical and Machiavellian lieutenants have taken something on, and Donald Trump himself doesn't care, then nothing happens.
27:37
So there's no health care plan, right?
27:39
There's no, as far as I can tell, economic plan.
27:42
Who is Donald Trump's closest economic advisor?
27:45
Is it Kevin Hassett?
27:46
Is it Scott Besant?
27:47
Like, who does he actually listen to and empower?
27:51
He's out there saying affordability is a hoax.
27:54
Why don't they have an actual policy agenda on affordability?
27:57
They could pass anything they want through Congress on affordability, but they're not doing it.
28:02
You think about the Biden administration at this point.
28:05
Biden was by now underwater politically.
28:09
But they were pretty relentlessly pushing forward on an agenda.
28:14
And so in the second year of Biden's term is when, aside from the infrastructure bill, his major bills passed, right?
28:20
The Inflation Reduction Act and the Chips and Science Act.
28:23
They were sort of moving forward.
28:24
You knew what they were trying to do.
28:25
And Trump, he is somehow constantly in motion, right?
28:32
And it is not at all clear.
28:35
And you can tell me if you think this is wrong, but from what I can tell, talking to Republicans in Congress, they do not know what he's trying to do anymore.
28:43
They definitely don't know what he wants them to do.
28:44
John Heilman
Right.
28:46
And that's a big problem.
28:48
A hundred percent.
28:48
And, you know, I was going to say he's constantly in motion, except when he's falling asleep, which, which, you know, tires you out being in that much motion, which he really does.
28:57
You get sleepy.
28:58
I see it with my kids all the time.
28:59
It was awesome to see him kind of nod off in the middle of the meeting about reclassifying cannabis.
29:04
I'm kind of like, you know, somebody give that guy a really good Indica gummy or what?
29:08
Like, um, it's like, yeah, Donald Trump poster boy for really powerful sedatives.
29:15
Um,
29:16
I definitely think a lot of that is right.
29:19
And there's a related thing, which is, you know, he clearly, you know, if you go back and listen to, there's this interview he did with...
29:32
Terry Moran last year, right at the end of the first 100 days.
29:36
And it was about Kilmar Obrega Garcia.
29:39
You may remember this.
29:40
It's incredible.
29:41
And if you haven't watched it recently, you have to go back and watch just the part where he gets in this fight with Terry Moran about whether Kilmar Obrega Garcia really had MS-13 on his knuckles or whether that
29:54
was just a Photoshop thing.
29:56
And not even a deceptively Photoshop thing, but just a Photoshop thing that the administration was using to illustrate that he had gang tattoos.
30:03
Donald Trump
He had MS-13 tattooed.
30:05
We'll agree to disagree.
30:06
I want to move on to something else.
30:07
Terry, do you want me to show you the picture?
30:10
I saw the picture.
30:11
We'll agree to disagree.
30:12
And you think it was Photoshop?
30:13
Here we go.
30:13
Here we go.
30:14
Don't Photoshop it.
30:15
Go look at his hand.
30:15
Terry Moran
He had MS-13.
30:16
Donald Trump
He did have tattoos that can be interpreted that way.
30:18
I'm not an expert on them.
30:19
I want to turn to Ukraine.
30:21
Terry Moran
No, no.
30:21
Terry, Terry.
30:21
Donald Trump
I want to get to Ukraine.
30:22
No, no.
30:24
John Heilman
He had MS, as clear as you can be, not interpreted.
30:28
This goes on for a really long time.
30:30
It's a very long exchange where Trump will not give up
30:35
the notion that those really were the letters on his knuckles.
30:39
And as you watch it, you're like, he's obviously a pathological liar, but he believes it.
30:47
I mean, nobody could perform the way he's performing that moment who was kind of making that up.
30:53
He's not trying to spin Terry Moran.
30:55
He believes...
30:56
that those letters are on Kilmar Abrega Garcia's knuckles.
31:00
And I think that's the same thing that's happening when you hear him talk about the economy.
31:05
It's like, why will he not concede that there is a problem with high prices, that affordability is a real thing and not a hoax?
31:14
Because he really just does not believe
31:17
that the economy is in a bad shape.
31:20
And for a variety of complicated psychological and other reasons.
31:24
But I think this goes to, you raised the question of who are his top economic advisors?
31:29
I don't think there's anybody who either can or wants to or thinks they can go to him and say, they can say, sir, we need to talk about affordability.
31:39
But no one can go to him and say, look, the stuff we're doing,
31:45
You might think tariffs are helpful in the long run.
31:47
You might, you know, we get that, Mr. President.
31:50
But right now, the people are out there hurting and we are killing ourselves by not acknowledging that there's still a lot of work to do at a minimum, that, you know, that we've maybe made a little bit of progress, but we have a lot more progress to make.
32:04
And he seems to, I think, every indication is that he is fully convinced that the economy is way better than it is and that everything they're doing is and everything's going great.
32:15
And that is another reason to get to the larger meta point, which is the reason there's no affordability agenda is because Trump doesn't think there's an affordability problem.
32:25
And and and so I don't know what his economic advisors think about this, but until the president says, yeah, OK, I get it.
32:31
There's a problem and we need to fix it in some way.
32:33
You need to at least appear to be fixing it for political reasons.
32:36
They're not going to be an agenda, an economic agenda in the second term.
32:39
And that's, I think, what Republicans on the Hill, both substantively and politically, are freaking out about.
32:43
Right.
32:43
It's like he's not living in the reality space that we live in.
32:47
And frankly, there was a period of time when Joe Biden was like that, too.
32:50
Ezra Klein
There is a saying in therapy, and for that matter, in meditation, don't believe everything you feel.
32:57
Donald Trump believes everything he feels.
33:02
Yes.
33:02
I think it is actually quite fundamental to who he is.
33:06
It is what makes him, I mean, I've written a big essay on his disinhibition.
33:10
This is a little bit before the election.
33:11
The disinhibition is the fundamental quality of Trump.
33:14
But what disinhibition is, in a sense, is an absence of barrier, right?
33:20
between impulse and action.
33:22
You feel something, you act.
33:23
Something comes into mind, you say it.
33:24
That's Trump.
33:26
And it's a real problem because the world often does not accord to our feelings.
33:32
And the people around Trump cannot go and talk to him and say, listen, we've been trying this thing that feels right to you and it is wrong.
33:44
Now, sometimes Trump's feelings on something will change and he will change course.
33:48
But not honestly, usually in that as a full reversal.
33:56
So let's talk about the terrorists for a minute.
33:58
I think if anything is responsible, if any one thing is responsible for...
34:04
breaking the momentum of Trumpism, of Trump's popularity, and putting the Republican Party in a fundamentally impossible place, it is the tariffs.
34:13
And, you know, many of us, like I pointed this out, it was not a rare point to make when he was running for office, that he was running a campaign saying he would lower prices on top of an agenda, tariffs and deportations, that would raise the cost of goods and labor.
34:27
Sure.
34:28
They have ended up on the tariffs in...
34:32
I think arguably the worst of all worlds.
34:35
Because what they've done is create a tariff regime that is neither strong enough, constrictive enough, and predictable enough to lead to long-term changes in investment decisions on behalf of corporations.
34:50
Right.
34:51
But nor is it absent such that it is not raising people's prices.
34:56
Right.
34:56
So that's one dimension of it.
34:58
Right.
34:58
The initial theory that we're going to put these tariffs on the world, reciprocal base tariffs, all of it.
35:03
Right.
35:04
Liberation Day.
35:04
We're liberated from low prices and free trade.
35:08
It ends up he goes back and forth constantly.
35:12
Right.
35:13
Things now are kind of a mishmash, but if you look at a chart of effective tariff rates, they're around a little bit under 30% on the day after Liberation Day, right?
35:22
That's what he's announced.
35:23
And now they're around 15-ish percent, a little bit above.
35:26
But here's the thing.
35:27
Then there's a second pivot on tariffs.
35:29
And the idea is, no, no, no, we're not going to keep tariffing an island that only has penguins on it.
35:36
We're not going to primarily be in a tariff war with Canada and Mexico for no reason.
35:40
The tariffs are actually an effort to encircle China.
35:45
And a lot of people point out, well, if that was what you were doing, why did you start by attacking our allies?
35:50
And why do you still have tariffs on our allies?
35:51
Don't you want to be creating a kind of anti-China trading block?
35:54
But no, we're just going to have 15-ish percent tariffs on everybody, with some exceptions like Brazil, which we could talk about.
36:03
But tariffs on China are going to be 100%, 145% maybe.
36:09
And what we're going to do is break China because we can't have the whole world dependent on
36:13
on the Chinese industrial manufacturing juggernaut.
36:16
So what actually happens?
36:18
He quickly realizes it's gonna break the economy if he does that.
36:23
Then China threatens to withhold first rare earth magnets, certain kinds of magnets that are necessary for advanced manufacturing, a lot of kinds of manufacturing, and then later on a broader export control on rare earth materials.
36:36
So where have we ended up now after the deal?
36:39
The effective tariff rate on most Chinese goods is 20%, which is lower than the tariff rate on Brazil, Brunei, or Laos.
36:47
So think about that.
36:48
And we are shipping China the advanced NVIDIA AI chips that are actually crucial to building the AI systems that might be a quite large contributor to geopolitical technology.
37:00
supremacy or at least primacy in the future.
37:04
And meanwhile, we're gutting our own electric vehicle and renewable energy industry as a race ahead on both.
37:10
So among other things, we have raised prices.
37:13
We have accomplished nothing in terms of manufacturing.
37:15
We're actually down manufacturing jobs over the course of the year.
37:18
And we fought a trade war with China and lost.
37:23
And so now what you have is a tariff regime that is raising prices, accomplishing nothing anybody can tell.
37:31
And, but nor are they saying, you know, we tried it and it didn't work.
37:35
Every Republican, I think, is hoping the Supreme Court removes most of his tariff power, right?
37:40
That would be, that would, you know, save them on a lot of levels.
37:44
But it's just a, you think about that as a matter of governance.
37:48
You think about how broken a policy process is that leads to that outcome, political pain with no policy rationale that makes any sense at all, any longer.
37:59
John Heilman
Yeah.
38:01
And, you know, I mean, this is maybe like a simple anti formulation or something.
38:05
It's like, you know, political pain plus no policy rationale plus no economic gain.
38:14
That's not a recipe for winning.
38:16
Let alone, like, so much winning that we're all going to get tired of winning, you know, as Trump once promised us.
38:22
Anyway, look, we got to take a break.
38:25
And when we come back, I want to return to a point, Ezra, that you made earlier about Trump's disinhibition, a quality that was, like...
38:33
kind of grotesquely on display in his reaction to the double murder of Robin Michelle Reiner.
38:40
Um, but I don't really want to talk about the Reiners.
38:43
I just, I want to talk about the way in which it illustrates the way he reacted, illustrates like a broader point.
38:48
Um, um,
38:49
about why Trump is ending the year.
38:52
I think not like a lamb or like a lion, but more like Shamu, you know, like going from giant belly flop to giant belly flop with all of us in the splash zone.
40:14
Terry Moran
President, a number of Republicans have denounced your statement on True Social after the murder of Rob Reiner.
40:20
Do you stand by that post?
40:22
Donald Trump
Well, I wasn't a fan of his at all.
40:24
He was a deranged person as far as Trump is concerned.
40:27
He said he knew it was false.
40:30
In fact, it's the exact opposite, that I was a friend of Russia, controlled by Russia.
40:35
You know, it was the Russia hooks.
40:36
He was one of the people behind it.
40:39
I think he hurt himself career-wise.
40:42
He became like a deranged person, Trump derangement syndrome.
40:46
So I was not a fan of Rob Reiner at all in any way, shape, or form.
40:50
I thought he was very bad for our country.
40:52
John Heilman
So that was the president talking about Rob Reiner.
40:55
And Ezra, I said before the break that I wanted to go back to your point about disinhibition.
40:59
And in Trump's reaction to the Reiner murders, you see a combination of a very extreme form of disinhibition
41:08
married to an equally extreme form of clinical narcissism, like in the sense that he has no empathy whatsoever, can't put himself behind the eyes of any other human being on earth and thinks everything is about himself, right?
41:23
If you marry those two things together, that is how you get someone doing something as not just inhumane and disgusting, but also as obviously unpopular in that it has united everyone across the spectrum from Nick Fuentes to Barack Obama and kind of being like,
41:38
I'm sorry, man, Rob Reiner's our guy.
41:40
Shut up, Trump.
41:41
It's hard to do that.
41:42
Hard to get Nick Fuentes and Barack Obama on the same page about something, but there you are.
41:46
Ezra Klein
I was struck that there was as much criticism of Trump on the right for that as there was because Trump's response to personal tragedy is so often so politically ghoulish.
41:59
And his cruelty in these moments has been such a...
42:04
a trend and pattern of his time in public life.
42:08
And one thing I think it represents is that, I mean, you remember a year ago when, or right around when he won re-election,
42:17
And the idea was we were in this huge vibe shift and cruelty was back and you could call anybody any slur you wanted.
42:25
And, you know, you had this New York magazine piece on the cruel kids table about how they all, you know, and you've had these pieces about like the base ritual and they're all passing along Nick Fuente's clips and competing to make racist jokes and saying, I love Hitler in their group chats.
42:39
And one thing about that kind of edgelord offensiveness is it can be...
42:47
refreshing and a signal of a certain form, at least of independence in a moment of conformity.
42:58
But when the conformity, the technocratic organizational managerial liberal, whatever conformity is gone and that's all you have.
43:09
then it's repulsive because cruelty isn't fun to live in.
43:13
And from Trump's comments on Reiner all the way to the immigration policy, which it has been interesting watching people like Joe Rogan say, oh, I didn't think we were gonna go after just these random people who've been here for 20 years and are just working and raising a family.
43:30
I thought we were going after criminals.
43:32
Nobody wants this.
43:35
It's like they thought he was kidding.
43:38
Yeah.
43:39
And, and maybe that's because some of them were kidding, but he's not kidding.
43:44
Right.
43:44
He's never been kidding.
43:45
And now that he's the power center and his people are much more dominant in culture, all of a sudden it's not fun edge Lord humor.
43:57
Right.
43:57
It's yes.
43:58
Do you want to be governed by this guy and these people?
44:04
John Heilman
Right.
44:05
Yeah, it's and I, you know, look, I always when people say when you think about Rogan and some of these other people like, well, he told you what he was going to do.
44:13
I'm always like, you know, if you listen to him in 2024, he probably enunciated every number.
44:20
in terms of the millions of immigrants he wanted to deport, every number between like 4 million and 20 million.
44:27
He was all over the place about this.
44:29
And he definitely said things like, you know, the most extreme version of what the deportation agenda would look like.
44:34
He also said other things that were a lot less extreme.
44:37
And he said the worst of the worst and everything.
44:38
And when you listen to Trump, you're like, you know,
44:41
You know, like I said before, a pathological liar, there's a lot of stuff.
44:45
Trump announces everything he's going to do.
44:48
Everything that he's going to do is there's in a seat.
44:50
You can look back and say, he told you he was going to do this.
44:52
He also tells you a lot of things he's going to do that he never does.
44:55
And the combination of that with the fact that most Americans, normal Americans,
45:00
think all politicians are liars, especially during campaigns, you can understand why some people were like, well, yeah, Trump's saying that he's going to deport everyone, but he's not really.
45:09
That's not going to really happen.
45:10
I actually have some sympathy for people who think, yeah, I heard him say those things, but I didn't really think he was going to do that.
45:16
I thought he would end up doing something on the more mild end of the spectrum rather than the more extreme end of the spectrum.
45:22
And those people, I think, turned out to have
45:25
you know, at least to some extent, understandably, underestimated the depths of his cruelty and the degree of power that people like Stephen Miller have over him.
45:34
Because those people do, I think, have an enormous amount of sway over Trump about the actual execution of the policies of that kind.
45:42
Ezra Klein
To offer the nerdiest possible update on Mario Cuomo's famous line, Trump campaigns in wave and governs as a particle, right?
45:50
He campaigns in superposition where everything is possible all at once.
45:55
That was so adorable.
45:57
Thank you.
45:59
He campaigns in superposition, like everything is possible all at once.
46:02
He tells everybody what they want to hear.
46:03
Even within the course of one rally, he says a bunch of things that contradict each other.
46:07
But then when you govern, it collapses down to a single...
46:12
reality right you don't get to govern in the fucking quantum multiverse you have to govern in one thing and you make a choice and the choice is whether or not you deport abrigo garcia the choice is whether or not you send masked ice agents um and national guardsmen into all these cities the choice is whether or not you actually do or do not send that uh truth social missive or whatever about rob reiner and this has always been i mean this is always a problem you can it
46:40
Campaigning, you can be something of a blank slate or, you know, a lot of people can imagine what they want onto you.
46:47
And Trump in particular encourages that.
46:50
But then choices have to be made in governing.
46:53
And again, I want to keep coming back to this.
46:55
And it's something you were saying earlier about political gravity beginning to affect Trump.
47:00
people do not like the choices Donald Trump, President Donald Trump is making.
47:06
That is, you do not need to make the story dramatically more complicated than that.
47:10
It doesn't mean he's over, it doesn't mean he can't recover, it doesn't mean he's got no options, but the actual problem, and what's interesting is all the problems they're really facing, at least in my view, are self-created.
47:22
So many presidents come into office, like Barack Obama in 2009,
47:28
And it's like, oh shit, there's an ongoing financial crisis that is like annihilating the job market.
47:36
Trump comes in, the economy is functionally fine with inflation now under control, and he begins systematically creating problems that he then has to deal with.
47:47
And he has spent the year now
47:51
under the thumb of many of his own problems.
47:55
Like this is the problem.
47:56
And I do feel like I said this, like when I did my sort of initial essay on, you know, don't believe him in muscle velocity, that the problem with trying to act at muscle velocity, the problem with trying to govern in muscle velocity is you think you're overwhelming the opposition and you are, but you are also overwhelming yourself.
48:13
You do not have attentional reserves and resources.
48:16
The rest of the world does not.
48:18
you can completely lose track of your own threads and the sort of relentless action and believing of your own bullshit will affect you too.
48:26
The sort of effort to govern in that way is not just outwardly focused, you're also creating your own internal culture and eventually your own internal problems because you're breaking a lot of things all at once and you don't know which one of them will break in a way that then you actually have to fix it.
48:44
Versus breaking away where you can, you know, point and laugh or even run on it.
48:50
John Heilman
Um, so I, I want to shift to our second, uh, big theme for you in 2025, you know, the plight of Democrats, um, and, and the sense that maybe they finally started to find their footing, but you know, just a button up on Trump.
49:08
Um, I mentioned earlier, you know, that John Lovett said this thing about Trump is going, uh, coming in like a lion and out like a lamb, both, uh, both Johns Lovett and Favreau, both
49:18
said quite clearly, the fact that he's so politically weak now, or at least politically weaker at this point than he has been at any time in Trump 2.0 and arguably politically weaker than he's been maybe ever in the times that he's been in office.
49:31
they're like, that doesn't make him any less dangerous.
49:34
In fact, you know, he's more dangerous when he's cornered.
49:36
So we all are in the same place about the fact that he is politically weak right now.
49:43
And there doesn't seem to be an obvious way out, or at least an obvious way out that he's ready to contemplate, willing to contemplate, or able to contemplate doesn't mean he can't do a huge amount of damage still to the country.
49:53
But that gets us into the Democrat thing.
49:55
And so does your last point, which was,
49:58
so much of the problem, so much of his crisis, so much of his loss of altitude is self-inflicted.
50:04
Democrats have done some things where they have not managed to fuck it up, which is not nothing when someone is stepping on rakes over and over again.
50:16
I mean, in those situations, you basically just try to stay out of the garden, right, and let them keep bashing themselves in the face.
50:22
But I'm interested in your
50:25
in your view, enunciated at the top of the podcast here, which is sort of that things seem to be gelling a little bit for Democrats.
50:31
You have been not like a doomsayer, but someone who has throughout the year, and I would say not just this year, but going back, has been very clear-eyed in pointing to the notion that
50:46
something is that Democrats have lost their way and that on a variety of issues, there's things that seem to be fundamentally broken in the party that need to be remedied if the party is going to ever be a national governing institution again.
50:59
And you see it throughout the shows you've done over the course of the year, both in some of the guests you've had on and in your video essays.
51:11
In both of which, you know, the overarching tone is, you know, tough love.
51:16
Sometimes really tough, sometimes less tough.
51:20
But earlier, you said something about seeing signs that, and I think I got this quote right, about the, quote,
51:30
And that you can feel a, I think the word you used was a new synthesis that's beginning.
51:37
And, you know, you sounded vaguely hopeful when you said those things.
51:40
So tell me about all of that and where you think the Democratic Party is here at the end of 2025.
51:46
Ezra Klein
Let me just start with the set of reasons I think the Democratic Party is maybe beginning to find its footing.
51:57
They did not win the shutdown in the sense that they got what they wanted in the deal.
52:04
But I do think they won the shutdown in the sense...
52:07
They ended up in a better position and Republicans ended up in a worse one which for an opposition party causing a shutdown is actually quite remarkable a hundred percent So Democrats were unhappy with how it ended they did not I mean Schumer was not able to work with his moderates to find an off-ramp that would allow him and his group to save face but
52:28
I mean, you think about like the Ted Cruz Obamacare shutdown, which has ended in total humiliation for Cruz and the Republicans and Democrats navigating this, not necessarily because they were so...
52:40
strategically brilliant.
52:42
I mean, Trump just like played it terribly, but I think that's something.
52:46
The elections that we talked about.
52:48
The other thing that I think is interesting is that- They did a fine job, I would say, Ezra.
52:51
John Heilman
I think they did a fine job in deciding to focus on healthcare.
52:55
You were very good at talking this year, and I totally agree.
52:59
That the shutdown, in fact, was about a bunch of larger problems, about a bunch of things the Democrats did not want to pay for a government that was acting the way the Trump government was acting.
53:07
But tactically and strategically focusing on health care was the right thing to do.
53:11
And it's why, in the end, I think they unquestionably won the shutdown, even though many people were frustrated, particularly on the left, about how it ended.
53:18
As we sit here today, there's just no doubt that they improved their position rather than weakening their position.
53:24
And that is the only metric when you're a minority party.
53:27
Ezra Klein
Yeah, I am less certain that the counterfactual shutdowns are worse, but that's an unknowable question.
53:33
But I agree with you that in terms of having chosen the healthcare shutdown, they ended up doing the thing they intended to do with it, which I think more than actually winning the subsidies was elevating the affordability issue and putting Trump on the wrong side of it.
53:46
So then you have the wins in 2025.
53:48
And then you have...
53:50
I think something that is quite meaningful, which is the emergence of Democratic figures and candidates who seem like they are winning in the attention wars in a way that is native to this moment in politics.
54:05
And this gets to something that I think is a complicated thing to talk about in the Democratic Party.
54:10
But the Democratic Party has been functionally leaderless since 2016.
54:14
In 2016, Hillary Clinton loses.
54:16
In 2020, Joe Biden wins, but he wins already in a somewhat diminished state as a communicator.
54:23
I'm not a believer that he was senile or not doing the job of the president.
54:26
But in terms of the kind of party leader that Joe Biden would have been at age 68 – and you've known him, I think, much better than I have –
54:36
He would have been a very aggressive party leader and really aggressive in articulating what the Democratic Party was in this moment.
54:41
He was not able to do that any longer.
54:43
And then you have this weird.
54:45
So then in 2024, he doesn't ultimately run again.
54:48
But nor do you have a primary in which the shape of the Democratic Party is hashed out and chosen.
54:54
Right.
54:54
And of course, the Democrats will lose in 2024.
54:56
Right.
54:56
And so what I think you're seeing now is that after a period of time when Democrats were – their strategy against Trump was to retrench into something before, right?
55:05
Joe Biden was basically a return to normalcy candidate.
55:09
Let's treat Trump as an aberration and show we don't have to live like this.
55:13
We don't have to be here.
55:13
We don't have to go here.
55:14
We can bring you back to more stable ground.
55:17
That didn't work in the end.
55:20
And so what you now have, I think, are people sort of beginning to –
55:24
show that they compete intentionally and compete politically by offering something different.
55:29
Mamdani obviously caught tremendous amounts of fire in New York City, and there is something in the merger of his form of very, very affordability-focused democratic socialism.
55:43
And the incredible friendliness and pluralism in his approach, Mamdani does not represent, as he did even at other times in his own career, the kind of leftism that is scolding you or telling you that the police are anti-queer.
55:58
He's smiling.
56:00
He's going to synagogues.
56:01
He's meeting everybody.
56:02
He is willing to talk with anybody who doesn't like him.
56:06
There's an incredible pluralism and friendliness to his approach.
56:11
One of his lines that I love, he keeps talking about having a New York City that loves you back, right?
56:16
There's an incredible buoyancy
56:18
In Mamdani.
56:19
So he's one.
56:20
And I think he actually ends up creating some sort of energy for Democrats.
56:24
I would say Gavin Newsom, to my great surprise, is another who begins to figure something out this year and vaults himself to the front of the 2028 rankings for Democrats.
56:35
Whether he's the right candidate for 2028, I think people will and should argue about.
56:39
But he basically follows, and I just did an interview with him about this, and I think it's pretty interesting, but he follows a contradictory path.
56:47
On the one hand, he begins a podcast right after the election where he's interviewing Charlie Kirk, Steve Bannon, Michael Savage, Dr. Phil, Frank Luntz, right?
56:57
All these actually MAGA or right-leaning figures who you would never imagine the highly progressive people.
57:06
resistance governor of California sitting down with for these very open conversations.
57:10
So he's, on the one hand, really exploring the right and sitting in communication with them.
57:15
And at the same time, he begins to become the leader of the resistance.
57:18
He leads Prop 50, the redistricting initiative on the ballot.
57:23
He develops this trolling, holding up a mirror style with Trump in the attention economy.
57:29
And I think what unites these two things about Newsom that's very important and that a lot of Democrats don't share
57:35
is that what he simply is, is not afraid.
57:40
He is not afraid to try things.
57:42
He's not afraid to take fire from the right.
57:44
He's not afraid to take fire from the left.
57:46
And so he begins to move experimentally.
57:49
Some things work, some things don't.
57:50
One thing I've liked is he signed a bunch of very big abundance bills and talked about that over the last year.
57:55
But he's trying a lot of things all simultaneously.
57:57
And in a Democratic Party where I think it's cardinal sin is caution,
58:02
I think Newsom begins to be one of the people showing what it might look like if you had a Democratic Party that was risk-tolerant as opposed to risk-averse.
58:10
It was trying things as opposed to too afraid to try new things.
58:15
Then, and I'm not saying he's as big as these other two figures, but I do think the amount I see him on social media is indicative of something.
58:22
I think James Tallarico in Texas is really interesting, the Texas Senate candidate who's now in a primary with Jasmine Crockett.
58:28
And, you know, he ends up on Rogan.
58:31
He's the first real Democrat Rogan has had on in a very long time.
58:34
And Tallarico's politics are very explicitly Christian.
58:37
And Tallarico is putting out these TikToks and these viral videos.
58:41
And they're almost always him on.
58:44
arguing with the right, but from this very moralistic and religiously rooted space.
58:51
And you see in him, and I think in the response to him, the desire for something friendlier, for something morally grounded in this era of callousness and cruelty.
58:59
And I'm not saying any one of these people is the right next leader for the Democratic Party.
59:04
I'm not saying these are the sum total of possible directions Democrats can go in.
59:07
They're not.
59:08
But what you are seeing is a series of Democrats who seem like they are figuring this moment out in a way that I think a year ago, two years ago, it's like the Democratic Party, it understood MSNBC and the New York Times, but it didn't like it.
59:23
It's like it had never watched YouTube or TikTok at all.
59:25
And it just felt very, very, very misaligned.
59:29
And on the policy side, I think the Democratic Party is so coherent around affordability as the central question and message of the moment.
59:34
And that has also given it some shape.
59:37
John Heilman
Okay, well, there is a lot to unpack there.
59:41
And that is exactly what we're going to do right after we sneak in one more quick break.
59:47
And then we'll come back for the final leg of our look back on the year in politics, policy and governance with Ezra Klein.
59:53
So do not go anywhere.
60:04
Ezra Klein
I've met a lot of Democrats who don't, who they're more worried about things going wrong in their communication than something going right.
60:12
Gavin Newsom
Ezra, I'm a fail forward fast guy.
60:15
You miss 100% of the shots you don't take.
60:17
I got a 960 on my SAT.
60:19
I wasn't one of those straight A students at Harvard.
60:21
I can't read.
60:22
You've never seen me read a speech.
60:23
I can't read a speech.
60:25
I have severe dyslexia and a learning disability that is defined me and who I am.
60:28
My struggles, my insecurities, my anxieties, but also my willingness to try new things and learn from my mistakes.
60:34
Ezra Klein
Got a lot of facts you've been spit at me.
60:36
How do you learn?
60:37
Gavin Newsom
It's just, I absorb a lot.
60:39
I observe, I absorb, it's just harder.
60:42
I have to do hundreds and hundreds of reps. For one, you know, some folks, you know, do one or two reps, but in that process, you overcompensate and you then develop all of these other skills that have been gifts.
60:54
It allows you to read a room, it allows you to pivot, allows you to be a little bit more flexible.
60:58
Yes, dare I say, even more authentic.
61:00
John Heilman
So that was an exchange from your lengthy year-end interview with the governor of California, Ezra, directly addressing one of the points that you were making just before the break, which is that Gavin has an unusually high tolerance for political risk, at least for a Democrat.
61:18
And look, I've known the guy since he was the mayor of San Francisco, and I like the guy.
61:23
Yeah.
61:23
And I would say that he's been on an interesting journey this past year.
61:26
We're like early on, he always has this problem with seeming to a lot of people to be too calculating.
61:33
And that kind of was a little too close to the surface in the early months of the year, I think for a lot of people's tastes and in a way that again, kind of reinforced for people who are skeptical about his core beliefs and convictions that maybe he's not
61:49
you know, trying things on for size and trying to figure out what works rather than following his heart or his head.
61:55
And I think he genuinely, a lot of the things that people now identify as having put him into the nominal frontrunner's position for the Democratic nomination in 2028, came out of a genuine sense of outrage when Trump decided to send troops into L.A.,
62:11
And the kind of like any pretense of trying to work with the Trump administration got stripped away and he got pissed and the pissed part of him,
62:21
gave rise to a lot of the kind of innovation you're talking about.
62:24
He's obviously very good at the attention economy, but also the mocking of Trump on social media.
62:29
The more aggressive posture of going after Trump was, I think, an admirable adaptation of the circumstance and is driven by a genuine sense of anger about the way the country's being governed.
62:43
Having said that, what I don't, listening to your interview with him,
62:47
What I still don't get about him, what he doesn't have yet, and I'm not saying you can't get it, we're still a long way out from 2028, is like, what's the animating?
62:56
He's not just a straight up.
62:58
If he were like, hey, you know what I am?
62:59
I'm the abundance candidate.
63:01
Here's my theory of the case.
63:03
Here's what's wrong with the country.
63:05
Here's a bunch of policies.
63:06
Here's how I knit it together thematically.
63:08
That is a thing that Bill Clinton did in his way, a thing that Barack Obama did in his way.
63:14
Newsom is very good on your podcast.
63:18
And he answers all these questions.
63:19
But what kind of a Democrat is Gavin Newsom?
63:25
What's the lift of the driving dream with him?
63:28
I don't think that's there yet.
63:29
Whereas James Tallarico, the other person that you were pointing to before the break, I get what he's about.
63:36
And I'm not trying to push James Tallarico as a presidential candidate.
63:38
But the thing that you just described, someone who fuses the moralism
63:43
of his religious upbringing and convictions with a progressivism that is as pure
63:52
in the contemporary sense as Gavin Newsom's progressivism.
63:56
That I get.
63:57
I mean, I get that.
63:58
That's Christian liberation theology.
64:00
That's lefty, that's a very identifiable strain of lefty Christians, lefty Catholics who've existed for a long time.
64:07
We haven't seen it much in our politics recently.
64:10
But I understand what Tallarico's kind of theory of the case is for what has to happen
64:17
to fix the country, fix the party, fix our politics.
64:20
I don't really know what that is for Newsom, do you?
64:23
Ezra Klein
So I'd say a couple things here.
64:25
So one, it's funny, I just did a very long also wonderful interview with Tallarico that'll come out on my show in early January.
64:34
And I really, really like Tallarico, but I think in many ways he's got less sense of what he actually wants to do than Newsom, who's just a much more experienced politician, has been governor of California for a long time.
64:47
I'm not surprised.
64:49
John Heilman
If Tallarico had as much of a policy agenda as Gavin, we'd be in trouble because Gavin has run California for two times.
64:54
Ezra Klein
So I think that there's something – but the thing I'm saying about that in a way is that I think that there is – all the problems you point out with Newsom or separately with Hillary or any of them I think are true.
65:06
I don't think Newsom is a defined candidate yet.
65:09
And nor – I think the Democratic Party will want to think very, very hard.
65:13
I think Newsom will have to prove some things he's not yet proven to have the governor – and he and I talk about this in the show –
65:20
the governor of the state that ranks 50th out of 50 on affordability.
65:24
John Heilman
You asked the right question.
65:25
You put your finger right on that question in the podcast.
65:27
You were like, how do you run on the California miracle when affordability is the main issue and California's least affordable state in the union?
65:35
I don't think he really had an answer to that either.
65:37
Ezra Klein
But so what I'm really saying is not, and I want to be super clear about this, that Newsom should be the candidate in 2020.
65:43
We'll see.
65:44
What I'm saying is that compared to a year ago,
65:47
We have watched a series of Democrats, and I think you could name a couple more.
65:53
Those are the ones who come most obviously to mind.
65:54
But, you know, I think if he had not ended up in the weird tattoo scandals, you would talk about Graham Plattner in Maine.
66:00
I think we'll see what happens.
66:01
The Michigan primary is going to be pretty, pretty intense.
66:04
But Mallory McMorrow is another person who I think has been really interesting this year.
66:08
I think you have begun to see Democrats who feel like they are grasping the texture of this moment and breaking through in it.
66:17
And again, going back to something you identified in my show, I just see attention as such a fundamental currency right now.
66:25
So you and I both remember the era of the note, you know, the morning email.
66:32
And they would talk about the invisible primary.
66:35
Yeah.
66:35
And, you know, when I was reading that stuff back in, you know, it's like 2005, the attention given to how much money different candidates were raising as the signal for where they figuring out and where they being able to arrange something significant.
66:49
It's like all anybody talked about, I felt like was fundraising and staff or hires.
66:53
And I just think that we live in the thing money was supposed to buy you was attention.
66:58
Right.
66:58
And I don't think money can buy enough attention anymore.
67:02
The candidates who work in this era need to be able to earn the attention.
67:06
And you can only earn the attention if you're able to figure out a series of things.
67:10
Some of them, by the way, very substantive.
67:12
It's not just style points.
67:14
Part of Momdani's attentional strategy is actually having a policy agenda so clear and memetic that half of New York could recite it by heart.
67:24
John Heilman
I mean, they could recite it by heart, and they did.
67:28
By the time that Zoran won, he turned his agenda into a call and response thing at his rallies.
67:36
Zohran Mamdani
New York, we're going to freeze the...
67:41
Together, New York, we're going to make buses fast and...
67:46
Together, New York, we're going to deliver a universal...
67:52
Ezra Klein
This is also, by the way, true for Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.
67:55
You know, Medicare for All and Build the Wall are mimetic policies as much as they are anything else.
68:00
They are policies that stand in for the entire agenda.
68:03
But as you're saying, Tallarico reflects a sort of moral argument.
68:08
You know, there's a populism that you see happening aesthetically and in some cases, substantively with these candidates.
68:13
You know, Newsom is much more, I think right now, simultaneously the leader of the resistance.
68:17
And also, I just think he's learning things from the right.
68:20
I think his podcast was a much bigger part of his evolution than other people do.
68:25
You learn a lot talking to people.
68:26
And I think he talked to them and absorbed them and figured something out there.
68:30
And that's part of why he's been able to reemerge in this form.
68:33
But again, I don't want to say any of these guys are the future of the party.
68:36
Yeah.
68:37
I understand.
68:37
What I am saying is that part of why I am thinking a little bit differently about the Democratic Party is six months ago, I felt like none of them had their footing.
68:47
John Heilman
Right.
68:47
Ezra Klein
And now we look around and a bunch of them seem to have their footing.
68:51
John Heilman
It felt more abundant.
68:52
And now it doesn't feel more abundant.
68:54
It's like, it's a little bit like,
68:55
If you were doing, if you're a doctor and you were doing a diagnosis or an assessment of the state of the democratic body politic, you would have said a year ago, you know, touch and go.
69:08
Right.
69:09
And now you're kind of like not dead yet.
69:10
You know, there's still, we got some, we got a pulse here, right?
69:13
Ezra Klein
There's, there's, it's starting to walk around the hospital floor a little bit.
69:17
Yeah, it's trying to take those steps.
69:19
It's not flat out.
69:21
Then, of course, there's policy, and we could talk about that.
69:23
But I do think you're seeing really interesting syntheses around affordability, around various forms of economic populism, around abundance.
69:33
I've been drafted in as a character in what field of people like fights, but to me they feel like...
69:41
an effort people are making to work through different ideas and find a way to braid them into something that feels coherent.
69:49
And by the way, something that might also be contradictory, a deep belief I have about politicians, and you were saying a minute ago that Obama and Clinton represented something clear.
69:57
That is both true, I would say, and false.
69:59
The other thing that is true about them, just like it's true about Trump and true about, I think, all truly great national politicians in a country this big is
70:06
Is it they tend to be able to hold contradictory things together inside themselves.
70:11
Terry Moran
Sure.
70:11
Ezra Klein
Obama, Clinton, the populist and the new Democrat, for instance.
70:14
Sure.
70:14
And I'm just seeing like I'm seeing more force, you know, just forces, energies that are colliding inside the Democratic milieu.
70:26
John Heilman
You mentioned, of course, I just want to give you one piece of advice as the person who co-authored the book Game Change.
70:36
I have tried, Ezra.
70:38
I worked on it like 12 bastards to figure out a way to get royalties from every time anybody used the phrase.
70:45
There's no way to do it.
70:46
There's no way you can put a toll on the use of the word abundance.
70:51
I would never want to, man.
70:53
I'm an open source guy.
70:55
I want to ask you... Creative comments over here.
70:59
I want to ask you as we wind down here, I made you uncomfortable at the beginning by saying, you know, you're an Ezra.
71:05
I do want to ask you one question, right?
71:07
Because the essays...
71:09
when you do a video essay, those have gotten a lot of attention.
71:12
And you don't do a video essay on the basis of every column that you write.
71:17
You write things that don't turn into video, I believe, where you are just doing a straight up column and don't try to turn it into a podcast little video essay.
71:25
It seems like a lot of thought goes into when you decide to do that.
71:29
And it also seems there's a great degree of intention.
71:32
And you're also a smart enough person, obviously, that you're aware that the fact that your audience is not just
71:40
the viewer, the people who like the Ezra Klein show or the audience of the New York Times or the audience of any particular, you were speaking to democratic elites in a way and those decisions, those essays, the columns you write in general, but in particularly some of these video essays are landing with a particular kind of force
72:02
and having a kind of influence that is, frankly, unusual.
72:06
And I guess I'm curious about having listened to you do the show over the course of the last year, and then seeing some of your appearances on other shows, you seem like you're kind of not struggling, but grappling with...
72:21
how do I think about my role?
72:23
What is it I'm doing here?
72:25
I mean, it would have been easy to say what that was 10 years ago.
72:29
And I think it would have been pretty easy to say what it was even three years ago.
72:34
But starting with the Biden controversy and leading up to now where we said, it feels like it's different.
72:40
And you understand that it's different.
72:42
And you're trying to get your arms around what your role is in
72:49
not just in journalism, but in our political life and in the party and so on.
72:53
I'm just really interested to hear how you think about that.
72:57
Ezra Klein
I am probably less internally confused as to what to do week to week than I am simply resistant to doing that much navel-gazing in public.
73:11
Yes, everything you say is true.
73:13
I wouldn't deny any of it.
73:14
I think it would be stupid or... Disingenuous.
73:18
Disingenuous, thank you.
73:20
And also, the way in which some things are landing with more force is true, but the degree to which those things feel completely new to me is not all that true.
73:34
I could very much have imagined writing something like the Biden piece...
73:38
you know, at Vox, I just don't think at that moment it would have landed in the same way.
73:42
So I agree that, and the thing of, or now there are video essays in there, I mean, that just has to do with that I have a video team now and, you know, and we've learned how to do these things.
73:52
So when I, but there is a kind, the thing that I think you are like getting at is that there is a kind of piece I do sometimes that is like, it's beyond a column, it's obviously not an interview.
74:04
And it's me trying to really say something.
74:07
You know, I did a piece on like, this is how you beat Trumpism, but it was about like the big tent Democratic Party and the need to expand the tent and what that might mean and trying to sort of say that.
74:14
John Heilman
And then stop acting like this is normal essay, which was basically giving Democrats a very direct advice on how to handle the challenge of a prospective shutdown.
74:22
Ezra Klein
Yeah, but on the other hand, like, here's what I would say about it, right?
74:27
John Heilman
I'm not being critical, by the way.
74:28
No, no, I don't take it as critical.
74:30
I don't think there's anything wrong with any of these things.
74:31
Ezra Klein
No, I don't take it as critical, and I'm not being defensive about it.
74:36
As you hear, I find it weird to talk about this in public, because I like talking about my work, but I don't like talking about my meta work.
74:42
But...
74:44
I just think that, you know, something like the stop acting like this is normal.
74:48
That one, for instance, in particular, on the one hand, I understood that I was arguing for a certain kind of shutdown.
74:54
And on the other hand, I think I would have understood it as my job the whole way through this job I've done to argue about a shutdown in the lineup.
75:04
But yeah, there is an energy around them now that, you know, I think I – the main way I feel it is not so much that –
75:13
In the past, I wouldn't have done a piece saying this is the way I think Democrats should do a shutdown.
75:19
But I think I would not have thought that piece had any real chance of mattering.
75:24
And now I think they do have a chance of mattering.
75:27
And that is a heavier responsibility to hold in advance of doing them.
75:33
And I try to take that seriously.
75:36
But in many ways for me, my job doesn't feel that different.
75:42
The world around me feels different.
75:44
And the reason I am often awkward talking about this in public is
75:48
is I'm really trying to not let it get too much in my head, because I don't want to sit and think about myself like I'm throwing lightning bolts down from the mountaintop, and I don't want to get into a thing where I'm doing a lot of image management or influence management.
76:02
I think all those things, when people get into that place, and I've watched people in our profession do that, the work becomes inauthentic and untrue.
76:09
And one thing that I do believe about podcasting and about, you know, these kinds of essays, people can feel when the work is true and when it's not.
76:17
You know, this isn't just cerebral.
76:19
It's not just my walk blog days where if the chart is right, that's sort of the point of the post.
76:24
You know, there is something about...
76:26
I am trying to sense my way through this moment.
76:29
And then I guess to go to something I said to you at the beginning of this answer, that's why to me what I do week to week doesn't feel that unclear because it is very intuitive and it is about trying to feel the moment and feel what I actually have to say and what my actual angle on it is.
76:51
Yeah.
76:52
I only do those essays when I feel them, truly.
76:56
Every piece like that that happens, those ones you're describing, it has to feel like a fever before I use that particular form.
77:06
Something has to be building internally, and then I know it's time to do that.
77:10
But I can't describe the process more than that.
77:12
It's not like I sit down and I'm like, I need to do a shutdown one of these.
77:16
Until I saw it, I would have never done it.
77:18
And so, you know, the practice, as weird as it sounds, and again, it's why I try not to talk about it too much.
77:25
The practice is trying to maintain an openness and an internal awareness of like what is happening and how it's feeling in me.
77:32
When I did the emergencies here stuff about Abrego Garcia.
77:36
I mean, the emotions of that are 1,000% authentic.
77:42
And to me, that's a lot of the job in this era is to absorb everything, like let it go through the weird intuitive processing that happens inside of me.
77:55
And then when something begins to happen, when I begin to feel that emotion,
78:00
you know creative energy you know that then check it right do the reporting like make sure everything you like really try to like battle test it but but also to not be afraid of it um and and my biggest worry about my own work is that every interview i do now it has this kind of like you know meta like looking at myself in the third person and if i start looking at myself in the third person my work is going to become shit and so i want to try to avoid it as much as i can that's my resolution for 2026
78:29
John Heilman
Um, I'm sitting here in California.
78:31
And one of the things I remembered hearing that your interview with Gavin, you're like, you know, every minute I spend outside California, I would just wish I was there.
78:38
And I wasn't sure if you were being hyperbolic.
78:40
We're both Californians or both Southern Californians.
78:42
You grew up a little further South than me, but both suburban Southern California kids.
78:46
Um, do you really like, would you really rather be here?
78:48
Oh, yeah.
78:50
Ezra Klein
My heart is really northern California, I should say.
78:52
If I could live anywhere.
78:54
Well, you grew up in Irvine, right?
78:56
John Heilman
Didn't you grow up in Irvine?
78:57
Ezra Klein
I mean, nobody wants to move back to Irvine.
78:58
I'm not saying that.
78:59
Plenty of people like Irvine.
79:00
John Heilman
I'm saying it.
79:01
Ezra Klein
I'm saying it.
79:02
Well, you could say it.
79:04
But man, if I could live in Santa Cruz and Marin or those are places like I feel like it's my soil.
79:12
Why can't you?
79:12
There's family reasons and other reasons I'm here.
79:15
Okay.
79:16
There's a lot going on in anybody's life.
79:18
And I'm not unhappy.
79:19
Sometimes I say this stuff and people are like, I love, like New York's been great.
79:22
It's been great for me, great for my family.
79:24
But yeah, I love California and it is, you know, that's my soil.
79:29
It's my culture.
79:31
It's a place I feel most like myself and where I like find the most inspiration.
79:36
So yeah, I mean, in the sense that if all is for equal, would I live in the most beautiful state in the country where I can always drive to Big Sur?
79:45
John Heilman
or um hike parasima like yeah i would hell yeah i would um i have like my last couple questions for you are very or one of them is a little off the wall and one of them is like my like the pièce de résistance the one that's a little off the wall or will be for others but probably not for us um you know i made that list of the things you did and there's two of your episodes in this two of why i say things you did episodes of the show last year um
80:12
And of course, the two that stick out like sore thumbs, I shouldn't say sore thumbs, those two that really stand out as different from the rest, which of these things are not like the others, are two of my favorite episodes you did, one with my friend Brian Eno and the other with Patti Smith.
80:26
And they are distinctly different from everything else
80:31
Every other interview you conducted the year, I don't think there's anything close to those.
80:35
They're the two artists, and they're obviously both two iconic epic artists.
80:39
I also learned in listening to the Brian interview that your taste in music is really, really weird.
80:45
I mean, you're like, I don't mean that in a critical way.
80:48
I just mean we have to talk more somewhere offline about, because you talk about some of the things that move you deeply emotionally.
80:54
You play some of those clips, and I'm like, man,
80:57
Um, I need to understand how that's a thing that connects with you deeply.
81:01
Um, I think maybe Brian thought that too.
81:04
Um, tell me about those interviews and what they meant to you.
81:06
Ezra Klein
You're not listening to the new, you're not listening to the Oniotrix 0.0 album.
81:11
It's great, man.
81:12
It's like, you know, one of the best albums of the year.
81:16
John Heilman
People should check it out.
81:18
I'm saying this in a totally, in a totally loving way, but there's a little bit of like, kind of like,
81:22
Brian, there's this song that I heard that I listened to all year long and it was like the most moving thing I've ever heard.
81:28
Here, let's play a clip of it.
81:30
Yeah.
81:31
It's just, it's just noise to you.
81:34
It is.
81:34
I mean, it's not, I wouldn't say it's just noise to me, but it doesn't really compute.
81:38
I wouldn't say it's like, it's not hooky.
81:40
Let's put it that way.
81:42
Um, but tell me about those, like those interviews, how much you decided to do them.
81:46
I know people were like, Hey man, can you please take us away from politics?
81:49
But, um, why those two artists?
81:52
And if you,
81:53
And do they stick with you?
81:54
Do they stick to your ribs?
81:56
Ezra Klein
I mean, if you listen to, not if you listen to the show, but over the years, in years when politics is not as...
82:06
violently insist as it has been this year.
82:09
I do a lot more shows like that.
82:12
It's usually with novelists, which is if you go back, of course, across the course of the show and you ask me, what are your favorite episodes?
82:20
It's like half of them are novelists, right?
82:22
It's like Marilyn Robinson.
82:23
It's Richard Powers.
82:25
It's George Saunders.
82:26
It's Zadie Smith.
82:27
It's, you know, I love those episodes.
82:30
And Eno, I've just always wanted Yvonne.
82:33
I love his music.
82:34
I love him as a thinker.
82:35
And then he wrote this book, right?
82:36
You know, What Is Art For?
82:38
I think is what it was called.
82:39
And Smith, too.
82:41
And Smith, I love her books.
82:43
And she had a new one this year.
82:45
I think it was called Bread for Angels.
82:46
But if people haven't read Just Kids, they absolutely should.
82:50
I both think there's something fundamental, but also very political.
82:54
And I mean that in the best sense.
82:56
about maintaining
82:59
an attachment and a line of sight on beauty.
83:02
And this is a topic for another time, but I actually think one of the deficiencies in liberal politics is, is insufficiently concerned with beauty.
83:09
Totally agree.
83:10
And there is a lot to be said about that at some point.
83:13
And it's a thing I've been thinking about a lot, but I love talking to the, the artists and the humanists and the, like on some level, that's what this is all really about.
83:22
The point of politics is to make possible society where people can have, uh,
83:27
dignified and beautiful lives.
83:31
And I think that there is one of the things Donald Trump does to us is a narrowing.
83:37
Although I will say also at the same time, one of Donald Trump's under acknowledged sources of strength is that there is no president, at least in my lifetime, who has cared as much about culture and beauty as he does.
83:47
Now, do I agree with his vision of culture?
83:50
John Heilman
You have to unpack that a little bit.
83:52
Ezra Klein
Look, he comes in and what's one of the first things he does that he actually seems to really care about is he takes over the Kennedy Center.
83:58
They do an executive order on what kinds of architecture are going to be allowed in federal building, trying to bring it more back towards classical.
84:06
There's a whole movement on the new right to bring back classical ideas of beauty.
84:10
And he really cares about it.
84:11
I mean, you look at how proud he is of how gold he has made the Oval Office.
84:16
I don't agree with his vision of beauty, but what I think it needs is an answer.
84:20
I'm not complimenting it.
84:21
Terry Moran
I'm not saying it is mine.
84:22
Ezra Klein
And I think it is the cruelty that lies inside of it and the self-veneration is sick.
84:30
But he understands and the people around him understand the power of culture and beauty and art.
84:37
And I mean, and I think they actually take it.
84:39
I think they take it with a deadly seriousness that is not how most politicians of the right or left do it.
84:48
So anyway, I love those episodes, and it's all much closer to my heart.
84:54
And in some ideal world, that'd be more like a third of the show as opposed to an occasional break.
85:03
John Heilman
Um, speaking of Trump and his, and his design choices, I will say literally the line that I will remember as when my start, when I get older and my Alzheimer's gets worse and worse.
85:12
I can remember almost nothing else.
85:13
I will always remember Jon Stewart saying that the design for the new ballroom where the East Wing used to be was designed to look like the inside of Marie Antoinette's vagina.
85:23
I think it's like maybe the funniest thing I heard.
85:26
Ezra Klein
I thought the best version of this, or another very good version of it, let me not compete with Stewart.
85:31
I think somebody said that Trump's design tasting the Oval Office was Saddam Corp.
85:39
John Heilman
Which I thought was pretty good.
85:40
Yes, it's totally right.
85:41
And I hope that you've gone and taken...
85:43
I really loved the interview with Brian, partly because...
85:48
you brought the right spirit to it and you were, and he was clearly delighted by you on some of your questions, which were really good, but also because he is truly one of the great conversationalists alive.
85:58
Yeah.
85:58
Isn't he amazing?
85:59
He's, I mean, just, he's such a polymath and he knows so much about so much stuff and he's an original thinker and he's also just so humane and calm, but also just kind of sparkingly brilliant all the time.
86:12
I hope you've taken his advice to heart on the, the, the recommendations he gave to you at the end of the,
86:18
podcast, because if you don't own a pattern language like Christopher Alexander, you must.
86:23
It's an incredibly good book.
86:25
Here's my last question.
86:29
Literally, the question I've been asked, it comes back to politics.
86:32
The question I've been asked more this year than any other question by normal people that I run into.
86:37
And I've said before that
86:39
In the first Trump term, the question I would get more often out in the world was, are we going to be okay?
86:45
And in this year, the question I got more often was a variation of that, but a darker one, which is, how fucked are we?
86:53
Like, how fucked are we, really?
86:54
How fucked are we?
86:56
Taken together over all the work you've done over the course of the last year, all the trend lines we've just talked about, like where the Democrat Party's had it worked, the Trump...
87:03
political project is headed, et cetera, et cetera.
87:05
I ask you that question as we sit here on the precipice of 2026, Ezra, how fucked are we?
87:11
Ezra Klein
It depends on what we do and it depends on what they do.
87:14
And I don't mean to make that we they too sharp, because obviously there are many people in the middle of that.
87:19
But I do think Donald Trump represents a coalition that wants to fundamentally change the nature of our political system of our country.
87:25
I think if they succeed in that, it would be very dangerous.
87:28
So it really matters.
87:30
I mean, going across what we've been talking about, the reason I'm so focused on the Democratic Party right now, which is not the most comfortable place for me to be, is because...
87:40
If you think Trump is as dangerous as I do, then the alternative political coalition, the one that believes in liberal democracy and wants to prove that it works, has to be pretty fucking good at what it does, right?
87:53
This is not a time when you have a margin for error.
87:56
And so I don't think there is an answer to how fucked we are or how fucked we are not.
88:00
The answer is, of course, it depends, but it doesn't just depend on fate.
88:06
It depends on action.
88:08
It depends on discrete human beings at every level of society, ranging from the CEOs who have engaged in truly cowardly, naked transactionalism with Trump, as opposed to stand up for the system and the rule of law that has made their success possible.
88:27
to the really brave human beings and normal people who, you know, tape ICE agents and stand with immigrants and attend No Kings rallies, to Democratic politicians who need to be focused on winning and serious about what that means and what does it mean to contest Ohio and what does it mean to contest Alaska and Florida and Iowa and on and on and on.
88:51
And there's nobody exempt from this.
88:55
I mean, you can choose to not play, but if you care about it, then you got to do the best you can.
89:03
What Trump and the people around him do will matter.
89:06
I think a lot has been saved by them making bad decisions.
89:09
But
89:10
they have succeeded before by taking advantage of other people's bad decisions or decisions to sit things out.
89:16
And so, you know, I take this as a period, if you believe this whole thing is worth it, if you believe this can be beautiful, if you believe progress is possible, you know, we got to, many of us got to live in a period where the political boundaries exist.
89:33
were fairly well set.
89:34
And that was the aberration.
89:36
That's not how most of American politics has been.
89:38
The 90s, if you grew up in the 90s, it was pretty good.
89:42
And most times are less calm than that.
89:44
That was the punctuated time out of history.
89:48
Even though we can look at it now and see all the history burbling from Pat Buchanan to all the rest of it.
89:54
So...
89:55
I don't have a clean answer.
89:57
It's not like we're 70% fucked or we're 37% fucked.
90:03
We're in the fight and time continues to be the arena.
90:11
John Heilman
We could be fully fucked or we could be really fully unfucked.
90:15
Ezra Klein
It's a wave, not a particle, my friend.
90:18
Yeah.
90:20
They're still in superposition.
90:22
John Heilman
Ezra, thank you.
90:24
Happy New Year.
90:26
And we will see you on the other side.
90:31
And to you.
90:31
Been a lot of fun.
90:32
Thank you, man.
90:40
Impolitic with John Heilman is a podcast in partnership with Odyssey.
90:43
Thanks again to Mr. Ezra Klein for coming on the show.
90:46
If you enjoyed this episode of Impolitic with John Heilman, please follow us, share us, rate us, and review us on the free Odyssey app or wherever you have to bask in the splendor of the podcast universe.
90:53
I am John Heilman, special correspondent for Puck.
90:56
To read my stuff along with the reporting and analysis of all my fabulous Puck partners, go to puck.news slash jheil, J-H-E-I-L, and subscribe, please.
91:06
Speaking of my colleagues, John Kelly and Ben Landy are executive producers of Impolitik.
91:10
Lori Blackburn is our guest wrangling guru.
91:13
And Bob Tabador is our very own Rick Rubin, Brian Eno, Steve Albini, and the Bomb Squad all rolled into one.
91:21
Flawlessly producing, editing, mixing, and mastering the show all by his lonesome and in no time flat.
91:27
From all of us to all of you, a little mashup of a pair of late greats, my mom and Bob Marley.
91:32
Don't get arrested, don't get dead, and don't give up the fight.